Public Equities Portfolio
Mechanistic Biology First
Every thesis begins with primary literature review. We understand the drug's mechanism of action before we build a financial model.Clinical Trial Rigor
Endpoint design, patient selection, interim analysis structure, and readout probability — evaluated with the scrutiny of a regulatory professional.Competitive Landscape Analysis
Each asset is situated within its competitive pipeline, standard of care, and regulatory precedent to form a complete picture of commercial potential.Probability-Weighted Valuation
We assign fair value under scientific and regulatory uncertainty using EV/Peak Sales and risk-adjusted NPV frameworks refined by sector-specific priors.Built From the Molecule Up
Members are trained to build investment theses from first principles — understanding the drug's mechanism before evaluating its commercial potential. Our research process integrates mechanistic biology, clinical trial design, regulatory science, and probability-weighted valuation into a single analytical framework.
Members present live corporate presentations, defend theses before the Investment Committee, and develop real investment judgment on public securities.
Five Therapeutic Areas of Coverage.
- IO combination strategies
- Targeted therapies & biomarkers
- ADC mechanism & linker science
- Cell therapy (CAR-T, NK cells)
- Tumor microenvironment
- Neurodegeneration (AD, PD, ALS)
- Psychiatric disorders & novel MOAs
- Antisense oligonucleotides
- Blood-brain barrier delivery
- Biomarker-driven patient selection
- Orphan drug pricing dynamics
- Lysosomal storage disorders
- Enzyme replacement therapy
- Breakthrough designation pathways
- Natural history studies & endpoints
- AAV gene therapy tropism & dosing
- CRISPR/base editing in vivo
- mRNA therapeutics & lipid NPs
- Durability of effect data
- Manufacturing & COGS trajectory
- IL pathway inhibitors
- Autoimmune disease mechanisms
- T-cell biology & exhaustion
- Complement cascade targets
- Bispecific antibody organization
Our Research Framework
Investment Committee
Coverage
Arm Type
Oversight
Format
Mechanistic Biology
Understanding the drug's mechanism before evaluating commercial potential. What is the target? What is the MOA? What is the preclinical evidence? What does failure look like?
Clinical Trial Structure
Interpreting endpoint design (OS, PFS, ORR, HR), patient selection criteria, interim analysis construction, and estimating readout probability under Bayesian priors.
Regulatory & Competitive Landscape
Situating assets within the standard of care, competitive pipeline dynamics, FDA precedent, and label expectations that will govern commercial success.
Probability-Weighted Valuation
Assigning fair value under scientific and regulatory uncertainty using EV/Peak Sales and risk-adjusted NPV frameworks. Modeling scenarios across success, partial success, and failure.